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high Risktransportation

Truck Driver

Drive trucks to transport materials, livestock, or passengers.

Role Exposure Estimate
79%
Baseline: 72% 7 points after current signals

Signals updated 8/25/2026

Task-by-Task Analysis

Here's how AI might impact each core task of a truck driver:

Drive truck to destination75% estimated exposure
Load and unload cargo60% estimated exposure
Inspect vehicle70% estimated exposure
Plan routes90% estimated exposure

Current Risk Signals

Recent factors included in this role estimate:

+1%
employment
-1.0% employment change year-over-year
+6%
ai-capability
AI capability: waymo

These signals are reviewed on a schedule and may not reflect every recent event. Use the score as a directional estimate, not a prediction.

Score Breakdown

Base Risk (O*NET Research)72%
Employment Trends (BLS)+1%
AI Capability Signals+6%
Final Score79%

Risk Trend (90 Days)

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AI Tools Threatening This Role

Self-driving trucks
Autonomous convoys
AI route optimization

Work Current Tools Handle Less Reliably

Last-mile delivery
Hazardous materials
Customer interaction
Complex loading

Practical Ways to Adapt

Fleet management
Logistics coordination
Autonomous vehicle operation
CDL training

Key Skills for This Role

Vehicle OperationNavigationCargo Handling

Career Overview

Median Salary$48,000/yr
Total Employed2.0M
Job Outlookstable
Categorytransportation

Get Your Score

This page shows the average role. Check the tasks that fill your actual day to see where your score differs.

Related Jobs in transportation

Data sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), O*NET OnLine, industry research reports. Occupation pages use versioned task data and a consistent scoring model. Individual results also reflect the tasks a person selects.

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