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high Risktransportation

Delivery Driver

Drive vehicles to deliver packages, food, or other items to customers.

Role Exposure Estimate
75%
Baseline: 68% 7 points after current signals

Signals updated 8/24/2026

Task-by-Task Analysis

Here's how AI might impact each core task of a delivery driver:

Drive delivery route75% estimated exposure
Load/unload packages60% estimated exposure
Navigate to addresses90% estimated exposure
Customer interaction50% estimated exposure

Current Risk Signals

Recent factors included in this role estimate:

+1%
employment
-1.0% employment change year-over-year
+6%
ai-capability
AI capability: waymo

These signals are reviewed on a schedule and may not reflect every recent event. Use the score as a directional estimate, not a prediction.

Score Breakdown

Base Risk (O*NET Research)68%
Employment Trends (BLS)+1%
AI Capability Signals+6%
Final Score75%

Risk Trend (90 Days)

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AI Tools Threatening This Role

Autonomous vehicles
Delivery drones
Delivery robots

Work Current Tools Handle Less Reliably

Complex deliveries
Customer service
Specialized items
Urban areas

Practical Ways to Adapt

CDL certification
Logistics
Fleet management
Last-mile operations

Key Skills for This Role

DrivingNavigationCustomer Service

Career Overview

Median Salary$37,000/yr
Total Employed1.5M
Job Outlookstable
Categorytransportation

Get Your Score

This page shows the average role. Check the tasks that fill your actual day to see where your score differs.

Related Jobs in transportation

Data sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), O*NET OnLine, industry research reports. Occupation pages use versioned task data and a consistent scoring model. Individual results also reflect the tasks a person selects.

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